In Reply to: What's the science behind the prediction markets? posted by blindness on May 11, 2026 at 12:23:04
There is a large amount of research supporting that combining multiple methods (prediction-markets + polls + fundamentals models) are the best predictors of elections.
Prediction markets are useful real-time signals, especially when polls are sparse
Polls/prediction markets are what you use if you want a data based approach to predicting an election rather than working off of vibes.