In Reply to: The national polling numbers don't mean much. posted by Gainsborough on October 08, 2024 at 16:03:45
"This election will probably come down to a handful of swing states."
This election WILL come down to a handful of swing states.
"Personally, I have little faith in those polls, even the ones with good track records. I suspect the polls are not reaching a representative sample of the voting
populace, and I doubt that the pollsters adjustments can bring true accuracy. No Hari Seldons here, I'm afraid."
Polls, by their nature, require a response. Land-line, cell, on-line all require a response. And most that I know will not answer an unknown call.
"I hope there are a lot of people who are afraid to admit that they despise Donald Trump, and that we will only hear from them when they go to the polling booth. That
may explain the results if Harris beats Trump by a larger-than-expected margin - but of course it will only add fuel to the MAGA crowd's "Stolen Election" claims."
That is also my hope.