In Reply to: Why are generic ballot polls all over the map? posted by mh on May 13, 2026 at 12:38:38
I don't take generic ballots too seriously.
Once you put a name and a target to a candidate, they always do worse.
That being said, while the aggregators say we are at a D+5, the actual elections the Dems have done much better in the special elections.
+11 in elections since 2026
+13 in elections since 2025
I'm guessing that GOPers vote in special elections less than midterms but that is a hopeful stat that I tend to believe more than generic ballot numbers.