How Trump's toadies calculated tariff rates


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Posted by SagoBob on April 03, 2025 at 20:53:14

From "The Guardian". I've been reading about this all day and just found this.

Headline: "Trump’s ‘idiotic’ and flawed tariff calculations stun economists

Writer: Richard Partington, Senior economics correspondent

Sub headline: "‘Willing sycophants’ came up with simplistic formula that has thrown global economy into disarray"

"Waving a big chart as a prop in the White House Rose Garden, Donald Trump suggested his new tariff plan was simple: “Reciprocal – that means they do it to us, and we do it to them. Very simple. Can’t get simpler than that.”

Perhaps a bit too simple. The method used to calculate the most important numbers in international trade, politics and economics has left some of the world’s leading experts shocked.

For each country, the White House looked up its trade in goods deficit for 2024, then divided that by the total value of imports. Trump, to be “kind”, said he would, however, offer a discount, so halved that figure. The calculation was even distilled into a formula.

For example, take the figures for China:

Goods trade deficit: $291.9bn

Total goods imports: $438.9bn

Those figures divided = 0.67, or 67%

And halved = 34%"

ELECT A CLOWN, EXPECT A CIRCUS!


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